The World's Weather in 2011
WASHINGTON, DC, United States (AP) — The world last year was not quite as warm as it has been for most of the past decade, government scientists said Thursday, but it continues a general trend of rising temperatures.
The average global temperature was 57.9 degrees Fahrenheit (14.39 Celsius), making 2011 the 11th hottest on record, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said. That’s 0.9 degrees (0.5 C) warmer than the 20th century average, officials said. In fact, it was hotter than every year last century except 1998.
One reason 2011 was milder than recent years was the La Niña cooling of the central Pacific Ocean. La Niñas occur every few years and generally cause global temperatures to drop, but this was the warmest La Niña year on record.
And 2011 also was the warmest year on record for Spain and Norway, and the second warmest for the United Kingdom. In the United States, it was only 1 degree (.05 C) above normal, which made it the 23rd warmest on record. But 17 cities – including Houston, Miami, Trenton, and Austin – had their warmest years.
This marks the 35th straight year that global temperatures were warmer than normal. NOAA’s records for world average temperatures date back to 1880.
“It would be premature to make any conclusion that we would see any hiatus of the longer-term warming trend,’’ said Tom Karl, director of NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center. “Global temperatures are continuing to increase.’’
NASA, which calculates global temperatures in a slightly different way, announced essentially the same temperature for the year. But NASA’s record-keeping calls it the ninth warmest ever.
Both NASA climate scientist James Hansen and University of Victoria’s Andrew Weaver said they expect that in the next few years, the world will set yet a new record high temperature. 2010 tied for the hottest on record.
NOAA also released new figures for extreme weather. The agency recalculated the number of billion-dollar weather disasters in the US, bumping the total from 12 to 14. Officials added Tropical Storm Lee, which dumped rain from Maryland to New England in September, and a July hail and wind storm in Colorado to the list.
The 14 extreme events smash the old record of nine billion-dollar disasters in 2008.
“America has endured an unusually large number of extreme events, totaling damage of more than $55 billion,’’ NOAA Deputy Administrator Kathryn Sullivan said. She blamed a variety of factors, including population changes.
For the year, a record 58 percent of the United States had either extreme rainfall or severe drought, about triple what is normal for the country. Seven states – New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Indiana and Kentucky – had their wettest years since those types of records were kept beginning in 1895. Texas had its driest year ever.
The record wet up north and dry down south fits with what climate change science predicts, but it is too early to say if 2011’s precipitation extremes were due to global warming, Karl said. And the unusual number of deadly tornadoes can’t be linked to global warming, he said.
But Kevin Trenberth, director of climate analysis at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, which is a consortium of universities, said it is is hard not to see the hand of man-made global warming behind the extremes.
“Where these events occur is largely driven by natural variability, but the fact that they are breaking records and causing tremendous damage when they do occur is undoubtedly because of the human stimulus,’’ Trenberth said in an e-mail.




Comments
I just got off the NASA site where they show a graph indicating global temps for the last 131 years have increased only 0.5 deg C. This is close to the rate of 0.44-0.45 deg C per century cited by others for the linear trend of the last two centuries. The warming and cooling oscillations swing from peak to peak 0.72 deg C. In reporting warmist year so forth data, the lower range of temps are often excluded. What really shows the warming or cooling is: FDD Freezing day degrees or WDD warming day degrees. This quantifies the amount of heat or lack thereof over the entire time period quoted. Just showing a climbing temp curve is misleading. There are over two dozen double record days in the US where they were both the hottest and coldest for the days on record. So, what is really needed is the swing in temps, top to bottom, curve showing the low temps and the high temps. When both climb over the time period, you really have global warming.
Rising Global Temps can be misleading. If the lower temps are not
posted, then the warming degree days (wdd) is unknown and may actually indicate cooling even when the temps swing upward. There are over two dozen double record days in the US where it was both the warmest and coldest on record. So, as an example, which was it, cooler or warmer? Don't know unless you post the FDD, freezing degree days, or WDD, warming degree days. This quantifies the heat or coolness occurring for the entire measurement period. So rising temps should display the entire temp range for the period given. Then one can see the real warming (or cooling) that is occurring.
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