California drafts new voting districts

By JIM CHRISTIE
June 9, 2011, 4:02am

SAN FRANCISCO, California, United States  (Reuters) —  California’s budget logjam could be broken as early as Friday when a draft of new voting districts gives lawmakers a sense of whether they will be safe bucking party lines.

The citizen-drawn redistricting draft, a plan intended to moderate state politics, comes out on Friday and the deadline for lawmakers to approve a budget is the following Wednesday.

There has been little movement in recent weeks toward a budget agreement, with Democrats resisting further spending cuts and Republicans opposing tax hike extensions, leaving a roughly $10-billion deficit for the state’s next fiscal year, which begins on July 1.

Lawmakers with an eye to appealing to voters in new competitive districts, and in a new primary election system, however, may be willing to break with their party’s lines in the state capital of Sacramento over the budget.

“You might have some legislators who find themselves in districts where they feel more comfortable making compromises,” said Allan Hoffenblum, publisher of the California Target Book, which tracks California’s budget.

Democratic Gov. Jerry Brown has proposed additional spending cuts and a statewide vote on extending temporary tax increases to raise revenue to close the state’s budget shortfall and bolster its finances in future years.

Some Democratic lawmakers have been defying him on cuts and suggesting tax extensions be determined in the legislature and not by voters as Brown wants. Meanwhile, Republicans have been blocking a vote to advance his tax plan to the ballot.

Districts won’t be drawn by lawmakers as they were in 2001, which effectively created safe seats for both parties that produced a polarized legislature. Instead, an independent panel will draw districts and what it has revealed so far suggests Democrats and Republicans should expect competitive races.

That would mark a sharp break after a decade in which incumbents were reliably re-elected or lawmakers glided between seats in the state Senate and Assembly.

“The goal in 2001 was to achieve the re-election of every legislator and the goal was achieved beyond the wildest expectations,” said Bob Stern, president of the Center for Governmental Studies in Los Angeles.

California’s demographic change suggests Democrats who control the legislature will continue to do so, but not with themes that would work in liberal coastal and urban areas.

Democrats will have to compete for votes in districts taking into account growth in suburbs and Republican-leaning areas in the central part of the state.

Republicans face a different demographic challenge.

California is becoming less white and Republicans will have to address largely working-class issues of concern to Hispanics who are on track to becoming the state’s largest ethnic group.

Successful candidates would presumably be more moderate and more inclined to work together more effectively on the state’s financial matters.

Lawmakers are anxious to see the draft redistricting plan because “everybody realizes it can cut both ways,” an aide to a top legislator said.

 

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